Los Angeles Dodgers (99-75) at Boston Red Sox (115-56)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 23, 2018 at 8:09 pm (Fenway Park)
Kershaw () () vs. C Sale (13-4) (2.19)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -150 / Los Angeles Dodgers +130 — Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
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The Los Angeles Dodgers and Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in game one of the World Series at Fenway Park.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a seven-game series with the Milwaukee Brewers and are in the World Series for a second straight year. The Dodgers pitching staff has been the story of these playoffs, as they’ve allowed three or less runs in seven of their 11 games and have an ERA of 2.79 with 111 strikeouts in 100 innings. If the Dodgers offense can break out just a little, they’ll finally break the World Series drought out west. The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 32 of their last 37 games overall when scoring at least two runs. Justin Turner leads the Dodgers with 12 hits and four RBI while Manny Machado and Yasiel Puig have combined for 21 hits and 13 RBI. Clayton Kershaw gets the ball, and he’s 9-5 with a 2.73 ERA and 155 strikeouts this season. This will be Kershaw’s first career game against the Red Sox. Kershaw is 9-8 with a 4.09 ERA and 155 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Boston Red Sox are coming off a five-game series with the Houston Astros and haven’t played since last Thursday. The Red Sox have flexed their muscle offensively in the postseason, which includes 20 runs in their last three games and a .253 batting average with nine homers. The Red Sox have been the most balanced team in the postseason, which is exactly the thing that made them the best team throughout the regular season. The Boston Red Sox have won 17 of their last 22 games when scoring more than two runs. Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox with 10 hits and five RBI while J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have combined for 19 hits and 13 RBI. Chris Sale gets the ball, and he is 12-4 with a 2.11 ERA and 237 strikeouts this season. Sale is 0-0 with a 10.50 ERA and seven strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers. Sale is 1-2 with a 5.85 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 games following an off day, 35-17 in their last 52 interleague games and 21-8 in their last 29 overall. The Red Sox are 46-19 in their last 65 home games, 43-19 in their last 62 games following an off day and 11-2 in Sales last 13 starts. The Dodgers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston and 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. The over is 4-0-2 in Sales last 6 starts overall and the under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 overall.
The Boston Red Sox should be favored with their ace on the mound, as they’re at home, are the better team and have been the most consistent during these playoffs. However, getting Kershaw at plus money isn’t something I’m going to turn down. While Kershaw has had postseason struggles for his career, this postseason, he has a 2.37 ERA with 16 strikeouts in 19 innings. Kershaw has had more hiccups this season than in the past, but he’s still one of the best in the game and somebody you never get at plus money. I’m going to take advantage of the value in the first game of what should be a classic series.