Boston Red Sox (109-55) at New York Yankees (102-63)
MLB Baseball: Monday, October 8, 2018 at 7:40 pm (Yankee Stadium)
N Eovaldi (6-7) (3.81) vs. Luis Severino (19-8) (3.32)
The Line: New York Yankees -180 / Boston Red Sox +160 — Over/Under: 8.5
The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet in game three of the ALDS from Yankee Stadium in MLB action on Monday.
The Boston Red Sox will look to take back home field in what’s now a best-of-three set after splitting the first two games of the set following their 6-2 loss in game two on Saturday. Xander Bogaerts had a solo home run while Ian Kinsler added a double and an RBI to round out Boston’s scoring in the loss. J.D. Martinez, Mitch Moreland and Jackie Bradley Jr. each had a base hit to cap off the Red Sox offense in the losing efforts. David Price took the loss after allowing three runs on three hits over just 1.2 innings of work. Nathan Eovaldi will start game three and was 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 101 strikeouts in the regular season. In his career, Eovaldi is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Yankees.
The New York Yankees will look to push for a series victory after taking game two on Saturday. Gary Sanchez had a pair of homers with four RBIs, while Aaron Judge added a solo home run and Andrew McCutchen added an RBI to round out the scoring for the Yankees in the win. Giancarlo Stanton, Miguel Andujar and Gleyber Torres each added a base hit to cap off New York’s offense in the win. Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win after giving up one run on three hits while striking out four over five innings of work. Luis Severino will start game three and is 19-8 with a 3.39 ERA and 220 strikeouts this season. In his career, Severino is 4-6 with a 4.00 ERA and 76 strikeouts against Boston.
Boston is 1-4 in Eovaldi’s last 5 road starts and 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games while the over is 8-1-1 in their last 10 division matchups. New York is 40-12 in Severino’s last 52 starts and 7-0 in their last 7 playoff home games while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 games overall. New York is 4-0 in Severino’s last 4 home starts against Boston.
Boston and sizeable plus money is tempting, but I just don’t trust Eovaldi and the potential opener strategy that the Red Sox may implement here. Severino has had his ups and downs, but he’s a much better pitcher at home where he is 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA this season while Porcello gave up five runs in five innings in his lone start at Yankee Stadium this season. All in all, I like New York to take game three and put some pressure on the Red Sox for a winner take all game five.